The new French Prime Minister, Michel Barnier, faces a political equation that seems as complex as squaring the circle ! Without a majority in the National Assembly, he must form a government that spans from the Republican Left to the Center, and even the Right ! Barnier has no other choice if he wants to secure, at least for a short time, the fragile confidence of this Assembly.

The problem with a politically diverse government is that it's challenging to define a political direction and a government action plan that can unite the majority of such a varied group ! Michel Barnier is thus under the dual scrutiny of the National Assembly and the political parties. The far left and the national right could bring down a Barnier government at any moment.

However, in the short term, what would Marine Le Pen's party gain from toppling this government too soon ? To solidify its normalization, this party needs to reassure voters while maintaining a period of neutrality.

French voters need to catch their breath, and the political class needs time for the thick fog that has settled over French politics to clear. Michel Barnier, who has no presidential ambitions for 2027, holds a small political "lifeline." He is at the mercy of most political parties. Meanwhile, urgent matters are piling up on his desk at Matignon.

It’s not easy for this "old" Gaullist veteran to project himself and lead all the necessary reforms in a country facing difficulties. The "magic window" of the Paris Olympics has closed. But in every magic trick, there’s always a secret ! Illusions never align with reality !